← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University-1.65+2.65vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University0.56-0.58vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-2.77+1.98vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.50-0.54vs Predicted
-
5Hillsdale College-1.68-1.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago-1.68-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
-
1.42Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
-
4.98Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
-
3.46Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
3.74Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
-
3.74University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hsia | 7.6% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 12.6% |
| Odey Hariri | 69.6% | 20.9% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bielski | 2.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 54.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 7.5% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.6% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 22.0% | 13.5% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.0% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 21.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.