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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.68+1.64vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+0.48vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.77+0.99vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.68-1.21vs Predicted
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6Washington University-1.65-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
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3.64University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
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3.48Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.99Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
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3.79Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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3.68Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 70.4% | 20.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.6% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 11.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 8.7% | 19.2% | 24.0% | 20.2% | 19.5% | 8.4% |
| Caroline Bielski | 1.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 53.3% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.1% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 15.8% |
| Jacob Hsia | 6.3% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.