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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+0.42vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-1.68+1.66vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.77+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.68-0.33vs Predicted
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5Washington University-1.65-1.26vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.53-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
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3.66Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
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3.74Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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3.54Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 70.0% | 21.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.4% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 12.1% |
| Caroline Bielski | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 55.8% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.7% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 10.8% |
| Jacob Hsia | 6.4% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 24.2% | 12.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 7.0% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 19.5% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.