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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.72vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.81+4.60vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+3.03vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.16vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.39-2.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.72vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.74-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.26vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.43-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.03Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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3.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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3.89Old Dominion University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.9Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 12.6% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 18.7% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alison Love | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 11.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 5.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 18.7% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 18.1% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 10.7% |
| Christina Johns | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 9.5% |
| Maggy Ashton | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 58.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.