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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.68+1.66vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.77+1.96vs Predicted
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4Washington University-1.65-0.36vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.68-1.23vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.53-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
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3.66University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
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3.64Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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3.77Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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3.54Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 69.5% | 21.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.4% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| Caroline Bielski | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 55.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 7.3% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 24.7% | 19.8% | 10.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.3% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 24.5% | 13.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 7.0% | 20.4% | 21.7% | 22.5% | 19.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.