Race 1A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 16.7% 17.2% 15.5% 12.8% 9.9% 9.1% 7.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Green 20.2% 18.2% 16.0% 13.2% 11.8% 7.6% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 11.8% 11.5% 10.8% 11.6% 11.4% 10.3% 10.6% 8.8% 6.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 5.0% 6.4% 6.7% 9.7% 12.1% 16.0% 20.6% 10.2% 0.6%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.4% 8.5% 7.6% 7.4% 11.0% 13.4% 11.4% 10.2% 7.4% 2.4% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 13.6% 13.3% 13.7% 13.4% 11.0% 9.9% 9.0% 5.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.9% 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 8.7% 9.5% 10.9% 11.7% 9.4% 8.6% 7.1% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Anna Groszkowski 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 5.7% 6.8% 10.8% 16.8% 22.6% 15.9% 1.3%
Bracklinn Williams 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 4.0% 7.0% 14.8% 54.6% 8.0%
Grace Watlington 2.9% 3.0% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.2% 11.7% 13.8% 15.7% 15.1% 5.7% 0.1%
Islay Van Dusen 4.8% 4.5% 6.6% 7.4% 6.1% 8.9% 10.1% 11.5% 11.2% 12.1% 9.6% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Heather Kerns 4.7% 3.6% 4.1% 6.0% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 11.5% 10.2% 12.0% 11.0% 6.9% 2.2% 0.1%
Julia Kane 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.5% 6.7% 89.5%
Sofia Segalla 10.5% 10.5% 11.6% 10.7% 11.8% 11.7% 10.4% 8.2% 7.7% 3.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.