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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.75vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+5.21vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+4.13vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.18vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.51+3.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.26+1.85vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.48vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-6.80vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-5.36vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.78-1.20vs Predicted
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14American University-3.13-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.13George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.53Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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9.85University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.8Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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4.2Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.64Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.8Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.77American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 20.3% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 11.2% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 0.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 15.4% | 53.7% | 6.9% |
| Julia Kane | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 5.7% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.