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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+3.05vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+5.21vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+3.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.26+2.76vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.95vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.47vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.20vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39-3.80vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.51-2.54vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.78-1.20vs Predicted
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14American University-3.13-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.61Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.81Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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5.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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8.8Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.2George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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9.46Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.8Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.79American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 16.7% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 18.5% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 23.4% | 13.8% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 0.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.5% | 53.6% | 6.8% |
| Julia Kane | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 6.5% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.