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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+6.28vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+4.38vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.39vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+3.78vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.52vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22-0.55vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-4.87vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.78+1.85vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-7.17vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.26-2.05vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.51-3.74vs Predicted
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14American University-3.13-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.78Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.5Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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7.45George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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11.85Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.83Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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9.95University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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9.26Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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13.78American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 18.0% | 51.4% | 8.1% |
| Bridget Green | 20.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 16.4% | 1.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 0.4% |
| Julia Kane | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 6.7% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.