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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.92vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.96vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.88+0.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+1.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.75vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.26+0.95vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-4.41vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.51-2.62vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.78-1.23vs Predicted
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14American University-3.13-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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7.24Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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8.75Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.38Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.77Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.77American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 20.2% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.2% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.8% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 23.9% | 14.2% | 1.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 0.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 53.8% | 6.7% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.