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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.23+1.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+0.17vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.50-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Drexel University0.2334.8%1st Place
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2.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1335.4%1st Place
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2.98Webb Institute-0.5517.1%1st Place
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3.9Rutgers University-1.505.7%1st Place
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3.84University of Delaware-1.267.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Gurskis | 34.8% | 33.4% | 20.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Robert Finora | 35.4% | 30.2% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Konrad Freischlag | 17.1% | 17.8% | 28.4% | 23.5% | 13.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 5.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 27.6% | 42.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 7.0% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 28.8% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.