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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+2.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+1.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut2.51-0.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.76-2.04vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.03-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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3.32Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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2.89Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.49Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 19.9% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 18.9% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 12.2% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 24.4% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 32.3% |
| T. Max Bulger | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 25.7% |
| Ian Towill | 16.0% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.