← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.55+2.91vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.43+2.18vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.84vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.49vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.39+1.64vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.57+0.22vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.77vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.28-1.03vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.86vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.80vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia0.26-1.73vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.78-0.91vs Predicted
-
13American University-3.13-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.91Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
4.18Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
-
4.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
6.64George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
6.22Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.23U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
6.97Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.2Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.27University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
-
11.09Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.81American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 16.9% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 8.2% | 0.3% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 27.4% | 16.3% | 1.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 59.7% | 7.6% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 6.3% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.