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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.88+4.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+1.19vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55-0.08vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+0.18vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.26+1.32vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.89vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-3.31vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79-2.89vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.78-0.92vs Predicted
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13American University-3.13-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.19Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.18Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.94Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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6.69George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.11Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.08Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.81American University-3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 10.2% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 28.8% | 17.9% | 0.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 59.8% | 7.5% |
| Julia Kane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 6.3% | 90.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.