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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.22vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.53vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43-0.92vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39+0.66vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-0.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.26+0.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.96vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.78+0.10vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79-3.62vs Predicted
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13American University-2.41-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.08Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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11.1Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.38Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.65American University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 18.1% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 16.9% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 29.1% | 18.6% | 2.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 49.9% | 13.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 0.9% |
| Valentina Palma | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 11.5% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.