Race 14A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Piper Holthus 17.8% 16.8% 14.0% 13.4% 12.1% 9.6% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 16.3% 14.9% 14.4% 13.4% 11.4% 10.9% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 10.8% 12.8% 13.2% 11.8% 10.7% 11.4% 11.6% 7.0% 6.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 10.7% 9.4% 10.0% 10.3% 11.8% 11.8% 9.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 9.7% 10.7% 10.3% 10.8% 9.7% 9.5% 11.3% 9.9% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 16.4% 14.9% 16.7% 11.1% 12.2% 8.8% 6.8% 6.5% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Islay Van Dusen 6.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 10.8% 13.0% 12.3% 10.9% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Heather Kerns 4.8% 6.1% 4.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.7% 10.5% 11.7% 14.1% 11.7% 9.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Anna Groszkowski 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 3.9% 4.0% 3.6% 7.4% 7.3% 15.9% 27.8% 18.9% 2.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 12.9% 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.2%
Bracklinn Williams 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 4.6% 7.4% 15.0% 49.5% 13.8%
Grace Watlington 2.6% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.3% 6.1% 7.9% 9.3% 11.6% 17.1% 18.3% 9.8% 0.9%
Valentina Palma 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 11.5% 82.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.