Race 2B

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Torrey Chisari 19.9% 18.9% 16.8% 11.0% 9.1% 10.0% 5.7% 4.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 22.7% 19.9% 17.4% 12.4% 11.7% 5.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Kloc 14.7% 14.3% 12.0% 14.9% 11.6% 10.2% 7.6% 6.2% 4.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Geith 4.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.5% 8.6% 10.4% 11.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Caroline Sandoval 5.1% 6.4% 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 9.2% 10.1% 11.8% 10.1% 9.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Avery Canavan 7.7% 6.1% 8.8% 9.9% 12.0% 10.0% 11.2% 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 5.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Lily Flack 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.7% 9.5% 11.5% 11.1% 10.0% 7.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Elizabeth Starck 7.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% 10.6% 11.0% 9.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.9% 2.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Laura Smith 3.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 9.4% 13.4% 12.7% 13.7% 11.5% 4.1% 2.5%
Hartley Meyer 1.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 10.6% 14.3% 18.2% 17.2% 17.8%
Lydia Sweeney 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 3.0% 3.7% 3.3% 6.9% 11.0% 17.1% 24.6% 23.8%
Aubin Hattendorf 4.5% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 8.7% 10.5% 10.0% 11.1% 11.4% 9.6% 9.0% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Anika Liner 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 9.1% 16.7% 21.3% 31.5%
Evelyn Walsh 0.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 5.9% 6.8% 10.7% 15.8% 24.9% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.