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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-1.26+2.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.51+0.91vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.23-0.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.78vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Delaware-1.266.3%1st Place
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2.91Webb Institute-0.5116.9%1st Place
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2.13Drexel University0.2336.3%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1333.7%1st Place
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3.94Rutgers University-1.506.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Deutsch | 6.3% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 29.3% | 37.2% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 16.9% | 21.1% | 27.8% | 23.1% | 11.2% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 36.3% | 29.9% | 21.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Robert Finora | 33.7% | 29.4% | 21.2% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 25.7% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.