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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+2.40vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+1.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+0.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40-1.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.76-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.02Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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3.44Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
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2.92Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 16.7% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 13.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 22.5% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
| Ian Towill | 17.3% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 13.2% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 23.6% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| T. Max Bulger | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 25.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.