Race 9B

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophia Devling 21.3% 21.1% 15.4% 13.7% 10.9% 7.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.9% 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 10.4% 11.0% 10.7% 13.6% 7.9% 6.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.5%
Torrey Chisari 19.0% 17.1% 16.8% 12.9% 12.4% 7.8% 6.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Flack 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 8.0% 10.0% 9.7% 12.2% 12.6% 11.9% 6.5% 3.0% 0.6%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.9% 5.4% 7.5% 7.3% 9.6% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 11.3% 12.5% 7.1% 3.7% 0.5%
Elizabeth Starck 8.4% 9.0% 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 11.5% 11.0% 8.7% 9.6% 7.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Laura Smith 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 5.2% 7.8% 6.9% 9.1% 11.9% 17.2% 14.1% 8.6% 2.4%
Riley Kloc 14.4% 15.0% 12.5% 13.9% 11.2% 10.7% 10.3% 6.2% 2.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Megan Geith 6.6% 6.1% 8.0% 7.7% 8.0% 9.9% 12.4% 10.7% 12.2% 7.7% 7.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Caroline Sandoval 6.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.0% 9.9% 9.8% 10.6% 10.6% 11.8% 9.4% 6.1% 2.5% 0.9%
Anika Liner 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 4.0% 5.1% 7.5% 16.8% 26.6% 31.3%
Lydia Sweeney 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 5.5% 7.9% 16.3% 26.0% 30.8%
Evelyn Walsh 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 3.2% 5.7% 8.6% 16.5% 24.7% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.