Race 10B

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Torrey Chisari 19.1% 18.2% 15.2% 12.8% 13.0% 9.4% 4.6% 4.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.4% 4.6% 6.9% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 12.3% 10.3% 11.7% 13.8% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9%
Elizabeth Starck 6.8% 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 11.5% 10.4% 12.1% 11.3% 8.6% 6.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Sophia Devling 22.6% 19.1% 15.9% 13.5% 11.0% 7.6% 5.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 6.6% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.9% 12.7% 9.0% 5.8% 3.1% 0.3%
Megan Geith 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 9.2% 9.2% 12.0% 10.8% 10.9% 10.1% 9.5% 6.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Lily Flack 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 7.2% 9.4% 10.0% 12.6% 11.3% 10.1% 7.6% 3.0% 0.7%
Laura Smith 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 4.4% 5.2% 6.0% 8.2% 11.1% 11.5% 15.6% 15.4% 8.3% 2.4%
Avery Canavan 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 9.6% 10.2% 10.5% 11.3% 11.3% 8.5% 6.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Riley Kloc 14.0% 15.1% 15.7% 12.0% 11.0% 9.1% 7.6% 6.7% 5.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Anika Liner 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.4% 5.6% 7.5% 17.3% 25.9% 31.4%
Lydia Sweeney 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 6.7% 6.7% 16.2% 26.3% 31.1%
Evelyn Walsh 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 4.8% 9.9% 15.3% 25.0% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.