Race 11B

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Sandoval 5.8% 6.4% 6.9% 9.3% 8.6% 10.3% 9.7% 12.2% 11.6% 10.0% 6.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Megan Geith 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 8.2% 8.0% 10.9% 11.7% 10.0% 11.0% 10.2% 7.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Elizabeth Starck 6.7% 8.2% 10.9% 9.5% 10.2% 10.2% 11.7% 11.5% 8.8% 7.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 7.9% 7.9% 9.0% 10.7% 9.3% 10.9% 12.1% 10.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Torrey Chisari 21.8% 16.7% 15.4% 14.0% 10.3% 8.1% 6.9% 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.6% 9.3% 8.9% 9.4% 11.9% 12.5% 10.6% 7.9% 4.1% 0.4%
Riley Kloc 14.9% 13.4% 13.7% 11.8% 13.6% 10.2% 8.5% 5.6% 4.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Flack 5.2% 7.2% 6.5% 8.0% 7.5% 9.2% 11.7% 11.5% 12.0% 11.8% 5.7% 3.0% 0.7%
Sophia Devling 22.0% 20.7% 16.1% 12.3% 11.6% 6.7% 5.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Sweeney 0.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 4.6% 9.6% 16.1% 26.9% 27.6%
Laura Smith 2.6% 3.5% 5.4% 4.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.9% 9.7% 13.2% 14.7% 14.7% 7.7% 2.6%
Anika Liner 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.9% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 16.2% 25.4% 36.5%
Evelyn Walsh 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 4.3% 8.4% 16.9% 26.8% 30.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.