Race 12B

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Riley Kloc 13.7% 14.3% 13.6% 12.8% 12.9% 10.7% 8.6% 6.1% 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 6.9% 8.5% 10.1% 8.8% 11.4% 11.5% 11.3% 10.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Torrey Chisari 19.5% 16.1% 17.9% 12.7% 11.8% 10.1% 5.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Geith 6.0% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.8% 10.8% 11.8% 10.9% 9.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Elizabeth Starck 8.4% 9.3% 9.6% 11.2% 9.2% 10.3% 10.0% 11.0% 9.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Lily Flack 5.5% 6.1% 6.6% 7.6% 9.5% 9.4% 10.3% 11.5% 12.3% 9.5% 7.9% 3.7% 0.1%
Sophia Devling 23.4% 19.7% 15.6% 14.3% 9.0% 7.3% 4.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 5.8% 6.9% 8.2% 8.4% 7.8% 10.5% 10.8% 11.6% 12.1% 10.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.6% 8.1% 8.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.6% 12.0% 9.3% 2.8% 0.9%
Laura Smith 3.6% 3.9% 3.6% 4.7% 6.0% 5.9% 8.9% 9.1% 12.3% 15.0% 15.9% 7.3% 3.8%
Lydia Sweeney 0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 5.1% 5.6% 8.9% 17.7% 26.8% 25.1%
Evelyn Walsh 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 5.6% 8.1% 15.3% 26.1% 31.6%
Anika Liner 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 4.4% 9.6% 12.7% 26.2% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.