Race 3 - otoole | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%

Within 2 Positions

1.3

Avg Position Diff

6

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Matthew Schon & Mary Zeolla

Salve Regina University

3.31

+2.10

vs Predicted
2

Genoa Warner & Madeline Yozwiak

Yale University

3.10

+1.33

vs Predicted
3

Nikolas Osvalds & Margot Elmaleh

Brown University

3.40

-0.11

vs Predicted
4

Ian Towill & Cristina Wiley

Boston University

3.03

-0.52

vs Predicted
5

T. Max Bulger & Solomon Krevans

Tufts University

2.76

-1.06

vs Predicted
7

Sean Andrew & James Fales

University of Connecticut

2.51

-2.75

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.1

Matthew Schon & Mary Zeolla

Salve Regina University

3.31

0.2%

1st Place
3.33

Genoa Warner & Madeline Yozwiak

Yale University

3.10

0.2%

1st Place
2.89

Nikolas Osvalds & Margot Elmaleh

Brown University

3.40

0.3%

1st Place
3.48

Ian Towill & Cristina Wiley

Boston University

3.03

0.2%

1st Place
3.94

T. Max Bulger & Solomon Krevans

Tufts University

2.76

0.1%

1st Place
4.25

Sean Andrew & James Fales

University of Connecticut

2.51

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6
Matthew Schon	20.2%	21.7%	18.4%	17.2%	12.4%	10.1%
Genoa Warner	18.6%	18.5%	16.4%	16.5%	17.5%	12.5%
Nikolas Osvalds	25.1%	19.8%	20.2%	16.6%	12.4%	5.9%
Ian Towill	16.3%	15.1%	18.6%	17.9%	18.6%	13.5%
T. Max Bulger	11.2%	12.9%	15.7%	15.8%	19.6%	24.8%
Sean Andrew	8.6%	12.0%	10.7%	16.0%	19.5%	33.2%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.