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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+5.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.72+7.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+3.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.31+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.27+3.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+1.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-1.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-4.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.39+1.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-2.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.39vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.07-0.17vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.73+0.72vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.99vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.65Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.03Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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4.0Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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11.83Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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13.72Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.3% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 19.8% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Green | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% |
| William Roberts | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 36.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 25.5% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| Miles Williams | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.