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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.31+3.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+6.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+4.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07+0.63vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.39+5.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-2.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-1.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+0.90vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.27-2.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.90-5.76vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.54vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.92vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.35-3.77vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.73-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
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4.22Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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12.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.23Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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13.87Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 5.7% |
| Mason Stang | 18.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Shea Smith | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 25.6% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 7.0% |
| William Roberts | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.