Race 11A

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Miles Williams 10.6% 10.9% 10.7% 10.7% 10.6% 8.8% 7.8% 7.6% 6.1% 7.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.6% 10.1% 9.4% 9.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 5.6% 3.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 7.6% 6.7% 9.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 10.3% 8.4% 8.6% 6.4% 4.3% 3.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Mason Stang 17.3% 16.2% 13.6% 12.3% 10.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.4% 3.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 5.4% 5.2% 7.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.7% 8.7% 8.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Matthew Elliott 9.6% 10.2% 11.2% 10.0% 9.7% 10.6% 8.6% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 5.8% 7.5% 4.1% 7.9% 7.0% 8.9% 7.9% 10.8% 10.7% 8.0% 5.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Christian Cushman 4.7% 5.3% 6.2% 5.0% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.2% 7.9% 8.8% 10.0% 8.8% 7.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Thomas Green 7.0% 7.4% 7.3% 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 8.7% 8.5% 8.5% 6.9% 7.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Tyler Egeli 3.7% 4.6% 3.9% 4.9% 5.0% 6.0% 4.7% 8.0% 8.2% 10.8% 9.8% 11.2% 8.7% 6.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Thomas Styron 15.2% 12.3% 10.3% 11.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 6.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Rooks 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 10.7% 14.4% 15.0% 11.4% 4.5%
Jessica Schaefer 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 5.2% 6.8% 11.1% 17.1% 26.3% 17.4%
Brendan Strein 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 2.7% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 4.7% 7.6% 7.9% 12.1% 18.5% 21.5% 10.2%
Nikolas Chambers 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 12.0% 15.1% 15.2% 13.9% 4.3%
Robert Rubin 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 7.7% 17.1% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.