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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+7.56vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.68+3.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.37+4.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+1.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.27vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79+1.69vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.14vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.02vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-1.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-3.19vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-2.50vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.00-3.41vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-0.99vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.26-1.50vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.37-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.9%1st Place
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5.12Tulane University2.6813.9%1st Place
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7.44Brown University2.378.0%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.489.0%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University2.409.5%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.0%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.5%1st Place
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9.03Webb Institute1.305.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Pennsylvania2.167.6%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Naval Academy2.2810.0%1st Place
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10.72George Washington University1.443.4%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College0.852.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.002.2%1st Place
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15.01Connecticut College0.520.7%1st Place
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15.5University of Michigan-0.260.5%1st Place
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13.53Florida State University0.371.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| William Kulas | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 29.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 41.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.