Race 12A

morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Elliott Mendenhall 3.6% 4.7% 8.0% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 7.0% 6.6% 8.5% 8.9% 9.5% 7.7% 9.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Christian Cushman 3.7% 6.7% 5.6% 6.7% 5.2% 6.9% 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 9.4% 7.9% 10.2% 6.9% 5.0% 2.2% 0.3%
Mason Stang 18.9% 13.7% 15.3% 11.2% 12.5% 8.6% 7.5% 4.6% 2.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.0% 8.3% 10.0% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 7.4% 5.9% 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Styron 13.2% 13.2% 10.3% 12.6% 10.1% 8.4% 9.0% 7.4% 5.8% 4.5% 2.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Rooks 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.9% 5.5% 4.9% 7.6% 8.0% 10.7% 13.3% 15.7% 12.6% 4.5%
Miles Williams 11.3% 10.2% 9.4% 10.3% 9.3% 8.6% 7.3% 9.4% 7.4% 5.7% 5.4% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 7.4% 8.7% 8.4% 8.7% 7.7% 9.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Nikolas Chambers 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 3.4% 6.0% 4.9% 8.4% 10.7% 14.6% 17.8% 11.2% 3.8%
Thomas Green 7.0% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 9.3% 8.4% 4.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Matthew Elliott 11.5% 10.6% 9.3% 8.9% 10.2% 10.9% 7.5% 8.7% 6.3% 5.5% 5.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 5.3% 6.1% 8.5% 11.7% 18.0% 21.8% 11.1%
Adrien Bellanger 4.8% 6.1% 8.3% 7.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 8.7% 7.4% 7.5% 6.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 3.8% 4.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 7.4% 8.8% 11.5% 11.1% 8.4% 5.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Jessica Schaefer 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 6.5% 9.9% 16.1% 29.8% 16.9%
Robert Rubin 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 4.7% 8.1% 15.4% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.