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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+3.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+3.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.62+2.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+3.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.24-2.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.77+1.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-4.55vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12+0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.81-3.95vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.03vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.78vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-1.43-1.58vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.1Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.45Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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11.97SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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13.42Northwestern University-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 18.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
| Charles Morris | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 17.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Isaac Miller | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 48.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.