← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.24+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.66+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.62+2.46vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.01+0.55vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+3.27vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.12+4.06vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.62+1.54vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.77+0.13vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.83-4.08vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.80vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.81-2.93vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.14vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-7.39vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.88vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University-1.43-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
-
5.29Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
-
5.46Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
-
4.55Brown University2.010.2%1st Place
-
8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.06Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
8.54Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
-
8.13Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
-
4.92Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
11.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
-
9.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
-
12.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
-
13.38Northwestern University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 19.2% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 23.8% | 16.1% |
| Charles Morris | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 24.8% | 20.3% |
| Isaac Miller | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.