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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.77+7.14vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+6.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.81+4.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01-0.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.62-0.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.83-2.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.66-2.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.12+1.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.40vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-4.32vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.27-2.52vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.59vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.12University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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4.67Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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11.48Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 20.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| William Hussey | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| George Warfel | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 32.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.