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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+7.70vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+2.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+6.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.77+4.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01-0.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+2.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+2.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.66-3.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.81-1.65vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-6.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-6.06vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.27-2.51vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.98vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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4.76Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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4.11Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.49Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.02SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 19.6% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Hussey | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Morris | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 19.2% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| George Warfel | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 26.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.