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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+4.53vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+6.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24+0.14vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.12+5.32vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.77+2.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.62-1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.66-3.40vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.01-6.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.81-3.57vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.27-1.51vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.93vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.65Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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3.93Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.8Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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11.49Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.4% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 9.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| William Hussey | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Morris | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| George Warfel | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 26.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.