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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+1.96vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+1.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.31+0.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10-0.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.76-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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3.42Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.02Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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3.39Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 22.8% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| Ian Towill | 17.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 13.7% |
| Matthew Schon | 22.2% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Genoa Warner | 17.5% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 11.6% |
| T. Max Bulger | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 25.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.