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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+7.68vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.77+6.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+1.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+4.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01-0.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.62-0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66-1.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-3.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.47vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.81-3.72vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-2.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.84vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.27-3.61vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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4.79Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.05Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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12.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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10.59Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.39Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 27.0% |
| Charles Morris | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| George Warfel | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.