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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+3.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+2.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+2.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29-0.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+2.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.81-0.80vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12+0.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-2.49vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.27-1.42vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.79vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.61vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.77-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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4.11Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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8.84Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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5.75Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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11.58Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.31Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 18.2% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 13.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 10.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| William Hussey | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| George Warfel | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 29.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 31.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.