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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+2.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+1.63vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+4.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+0.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+4.32vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.81-0.85vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-1.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62-5.16vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.83vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.27-1.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.97vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.77Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.5Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 19.5% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.7% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hussey | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Charles Morris | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 6.7% |
| George Warfel | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 26.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.