Race 1A

neisa-women-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.8% 9.4% 10.8% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 9.6% 7.9% 7.5% 5.9% 4.9% 3.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
Sarah Burn 6.1% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 8.9% 8.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.0% 7.0% 8.0% 4.6% 4.3% 1.2%
Dana Haig 9.3% 8.6% 8.3% 10.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.6% 8.6% 6.3% 6.2% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Mia Nicolosi 14.3% 14.3% 12.6% 10.7% 10.0% 8.2% 7.7% 7.8% 4.9% 3.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 7.6% 8.5% 6.2% 6.4% 7.9% 8.9% 7.4% 7.7% 9.7% 8.7% 6.1% 5.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.7% 3.8% 2.3% 3.9% 2.7% 4.4% 5.4% 5.3% 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 10.9% 11.7% 14.2% 10.8%
Colleen O'Brien 13.0% 12.7% 12.9% 11.0% 11.5% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 5.3% 3.8% 3.4% 1.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Maddie Hawkins 14.2% 15.0% 13.8% 11.1% 9.2% 9.6% 8.5% 5.5% 5.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Tiare Sierra 2.5% 1.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.6% 6.7% 7.4% 6.3% 8.6% 11.6% 10.5% 13.0% 13.2%
Grace Gear 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 5.7% 5.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.3% 7.2% 9.1% 8.7% 8.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.9%
Aili Moffet 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 3.6% 5.2% 5.9% 8.1% 6.5% 12.4% 13.0% 27.3%
Chloe Holder 4.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.9% 7.8% 5.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.3% 9.6% 9.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.0% 4.4%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 9.6% 10.8% 12.6% 10.8% 11.2%
Blaire McCarthy 6.0% 6.7% 6.0% 7.7% 6.9% 8.4% 7.3% 8.7% 6.7% 10.3% 7.6% 7.3% 5.0% 3.6% 1.8%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 6.2% 6.8% 10.2% 10.5% 17.1% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.