Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Grace Gear 4.7% 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 4.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.1% 8.7% 8.7% 9.3% 7.9% 6.7%
Colleen O'Brien 14.6% 14.1% 11.9% 9.4% 11.5% 10.0% 6.3% 7.4% 5.4% 3.6% 2.3% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Maddie Hawkins 15.8% 15.0% 12.3% 11.0% 10.8% 9.5% 7.4% 6.3% 5.5% 3.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Dana Haig 8.4% 9.9% 9.3% 8.9% 8.0% 7.9% 9.7% 8.1% 6.6% 7.5% 5.0% 5.6% 2.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Elizabeth Kaplan 8.4% 11.3% 7.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.3% 10.0% 7.7% 8.7% 6.1% 5.9% 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 6.1% 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 6.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 8.7% 7.0% 4.7% 3.8% 1.9%
Mia Nicolosi 15.0% 11.7% 13.7% 12.2% 10.5% 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 5.9% 3.6% 2.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Tiare Sierra 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 8.9% 10.1% 11.2% 13.4% 14.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 5.5% 5.2% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 13.0% 9.2% 13.2% 10.9%
Emily Bornarth 6.2% 7.5% 6.8% 9.1% 8.8% 6.8% 8.8% 9.5% 7.2% 8.6% 6.3% 5.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 4.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 10.5% 14.8% 24.6%
Blaire McCarthy 4.5% 5.0% 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 6.8% 8.6% 9.0% 7.6% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 6.7% 3.6% 2.2%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.2% 2.4% 3.1% 4.9% 3.6% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.4% 7.0% 10.2% 9.6% 12.4% 12.1% 10.4%
Chloe Holder 4.6% 3.9% 4.6% 5.9% 6.8% 7.1% 6.1% 7.2% 7.9% 7.7% 9.2% 8.6% 10.0% 6.4% 4.0%
Aili Moffet 1.9% 1.8% 3.0% 2.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 3.5% 5.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.9% 11.6% 17.6% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.