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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.93vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+4.07vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+8.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28+2.56vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+4.36vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-1.95vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-0.44vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-4.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-1.14vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.13vs Predicted
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122.64-5.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-1.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-9.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-4.86vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.1Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.93Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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6.472.640.1%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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4.86Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 21.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 26.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.