Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dana Haig 9.3% 8.3% 11.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.8% 8.8% 9.5% 7.3% 5.9% 4.9% 4.4% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9%
Grace Gear 4.3% 4.3% 5.2% 5.8% 6.2% 6.7% 7.2% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.4% 10.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.0% 9.7% 8.1% 7.1% 7.0% 4.5% 3.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 7.5% 7.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 7.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.2% 8.0% 7.2% 3.8% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1%
Mia Nicolosi 13.3% 15.8% 9.0% 11.9% 11.9% 9.8% 8.9% 5.3% 5.0% 3.3% 3.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Blaire McCarthy 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.8% 8.5% 7.9% 6.6% 5.4% 2.1% 1.4%
Maddie Hawkins 17.3% 14.2% 13.3% 12.2% 11.4% 8.1% 6.9% 4.6% 5.5% 2.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 6.9% 7.2% 9.3% 10.8% 17.2% 23.7%
Tiare Sierra 2.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 4.1% 4.6% 8.5% 6.2% 6.4% 11.9% 9.8% 11.0% 12.1% 10.8%
Colleen O'Brien 13.5% 12.0% 12.6% 12.0% 11.3% 9.1% 7.7% 6.6% 5.4% 4.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Burn 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.2% 8.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 9.4% 8.2% 5.7% 5.0% 3.5% 1.9%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 6.3% 5.8% 7.4% 11.2% 11.8% 16.9% 19.3%
Aili Moffet 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.7% 2.7% 4.6% 6.1% 6.7% 11.5% 13.8% 15.2% 21.2%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 10.2% 10.5% 11.9% 9.2% 6.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 6.5% 6.9% 8.7% 7.8% 11.0% 10.9% 12.5% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.