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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.16+8.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.74vs Predicted
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42.64+2.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+2.49vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-1.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70-0.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.32vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-5.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02+0.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-1.56vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.46-6.87vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-5.47vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.272.640.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.75Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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4.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.1Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 18.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 25.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 6.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.