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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+2.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.51+1.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10-0.64vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-1.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.76-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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2.88Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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4.24University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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3.36Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.56Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.89Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 21.4% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 25.3% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Sean Andrew | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 31.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 17.2% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 11.3% |
| Ian Towill | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 12.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.