Race 10A

neisa-women-reed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Elizabeth Kaplan 11.0% 9.1% 10.7% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 7.3% 7.3% 8.0% 6.2% 4.7% 3.4% 2.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Maddie Hawkins 17.5% 15.8% 13.8% 11.7% 9.4% 7.0% 8.2% 5.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma Cowles 11.9% 13.2% 10.1% 10.5% 10.7% 8.8% 7.9% 7.8% 6.6% 4.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Tiare Sierra 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 9.6% 9.6% 11.4% 12.9% 13.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 6.7% 9.5% 9.5% 11.8% 12.0% 8.7%
Emily Bornarth 6.6% 7.7% 7.4% 7.3% 9.1% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 7.8% 8.9% 6.6% 6.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Sarah Burn 7.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 8.7% 8.8% 6.5% 7.5% 7.2% 5.4% 4.7% 1.0%
Michaela O'Brien 12.3% 12.1% 11.0% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 7.4% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 4.1% 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Dana Haig 7.9% 9.0% 10.5% 9.0% 10.3% 7.5% 9.6% 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 5.5% 3.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Grace Gear 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.3% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.4% 8.5% 8.3% 5.2%
Chloe Holder 4.3% 5.4% 5.0% 6.0% 5.1% 6.9% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 9.1% 6.2% 5.0%
Blaire McCarthy 5.7% 4.8% 6.6% 7.8% 6.3% 8.2% 6.5% 7.9% 9.2% 9.5% 8.2% 6.7% 6.6% 4.8% 1.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.4% 5.3% 5.2% 6.8% 9.7% 12.2% 17.4% 21.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.7% 3.3% 2.8% 3.9% 3.5% 6.0% 4.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 12.5% 11.7% 11.7% 10.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 2.9% 3.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.2% 10.5% 14.7% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.