Race 11A

neisa-women-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Blaire McCarthy 7.4% 5.5% 7.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 10.2% 8.2% 6.4% 6.9% 7.4% 6.5% 6.4% 3.3% 2.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 3.5% 4.5% 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 9.1% 11.5% 13.9% 21.1%
Emily Bornarth 7.3% 8.4% 8.1% 7.7% 9.4% 6.4% 9.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.3% 5.2% 3.0% 3.0% 0.6%
Sarah Burn 7.0% 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 6.8% 8.8% 7.6% 5.4% 8.8% 8.3% 8.6% 6.5% 4.3% 4.3% 2.4%
Elizabeth Kaplan 10.4% 9.2% 8.5% 8.7% 8.2% 9.8% 8.9% 7.8% 8.7% 5.7% 4.3% 4.8% 3.0% 1.9% 0.1%
Emma Cowles 12.6% 10.2% 11.9% 10.1% 10.9% 10.3% 8.1% 6.7% 6.2% 5.2% 3.5% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Grace Gear 5.1% 4.4% 4.7% 5.2% 5.6% 4.4% 5.9% 8.1% 8.4% 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 7.4% 5.2%
Chloe Holder 4.2% 5.7% 5.1% 6.2% 5.6% 5.9% 6.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 7.1% 3.6%
Dana Haig 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.3% 9.2% 7.8% 8.4% 7.6% 6.6% 6.3% 3.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Michaela O'Brien 10.7% 11.6% 10.7% 11.8% 9.3% 9.3% 8.6% 7.1% 6.6% 5.0% 3.8% 2.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Maddie Hawkins 16.2% 17.5% 12.5% 9.7% 9.3% 7.8% 6.6% 6.8% 4.5% 4.0% 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.1% 6.3% 6.3% 5.6% 6.6% 8.7% 9.9% 12.1% 14.2% 11.9%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.2% 3.8% 5.4% 4.2% 5.6% 5.4% 6.5% 10.2% 10.8% 12.4% 11.8% 9.8%
Tiare Sierra 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 3.9% 5.4% 5.7% 7.9% 7.9% 10.2% 12.1% 13.3% 12.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.3% 1.8% 2.9% 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.8% 6.4% 8.0% 10.5% 17.2% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.