Race 12A

neisa-women-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michaela O'Brien 12.5% 11.3% 12.7% 10.5% 9.6% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Sarah Burn 6.7% 6.6% 8.6% 8.1% 7.0% 8.7% 6.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.4% 7.1% 6.7% 5.2% 4.2% 0.9%
Elizabeth Kaplan 10.6% 9.3% 9.5% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 8.8% 7.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Grace Gear 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 6.1% 6.1% 5.5% 8.7% 8.1% 8.6% 9.5% 8.5% 9.2% 4.7%
Emma Cowles 11.8% 12.7% 8.7% 10.8% 9.4% 8.7% 10.1% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 4.0% 5.2% 5.1% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 8.7% 10.8% 8.6% 9.9% 8.3% 6.3% 2.7%
Blaire McCarthy 6.9% 6.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.7% 8.8% 7.3% 9.6% 8.4% 5.7% 8.6% 5.7% 5.8% 4.2% 1.6%
Maddie Hawkins 16.8% 15.2% 11.4% 13.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.7% 7.5% 4.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Dana Haig 8.3% 9.3% 9.9% 9.6% 9.5% 7.8% 10.3% 7.7% 7.1% 6.8% 5.4% 4.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Emily Bornarth 7.2% 5.9% 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 8.3% 7.8% 5.5% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 1.9% 3.1% 4.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9% 8.9% 11.0% 17.3% 21.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 4.4% 5.3% 7.5% 7.9% 9.0% 18.7% 32.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 7.6% 9.0% 10.7% 12.0% 11.9% 9.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 5.6% 4.2% 5.5% 5.5% 5.9% 7.6% 8.5% 10.0% 13.4% 10.9% 11.1%
Tiare Sierra 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 4.7% 2.9% 4.8% 5.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 9.8% 12.6% 11.7% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.