Race 13A

neisa-women-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sarah Burn 7.6% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 7.1% 7.7% 6.7% 5.8% 5.4% 3.7% 1.3%
Chloe Holder 5.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 6.1% 8.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.6% 8.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.4% 5.7% 3.6%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.9% 1.5% 3.3% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 3.8% 4.8% 4.7% 5.4% 8.0% 10.4% 12.8% 16.4% 16.5%
Elizabeth Kaplan 11.0% 10.6% 10.8% 10.8% 7.6% 8.7% 8.0% 7.6% 7.1% 6.4% 4.9% 2.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Blaire McCarthy 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 8.0% 7.4% 8.9% 9.0% 6.8% 7.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.9%
Grace Gear 4.4% 5.4% 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 7.3% 9.9% 6.8% 10.4% 10.2% 7.9% 7.2% 3.0%
Sarah Young 9.9% 8.8% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.8% 7.3% 6.0% 4.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 0.6%
Emma Cowles 13.2% 12.1% 11.4% 11.0% 10.2% 7.9% 8.2% 6.7% 6.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Dana Haig 9.2% 10.2% 11.7% 7.8% 9.8% 8.2% 10.1% 8.4% 6.4% 6.8% 4.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Michaela O'Brien 12.3% 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 9.9% 8.5% 9.4% 6.4% 4.3% 5.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Grace Woodcock 2.0% 2.6% 2.0% 2.3% 4.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 8.9% 9.5% 10.2% 16.3% 20.8%
Tiare Sierra 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 5.2% 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 9.1% 9.5% 13.7% 12.5% 12.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 6.2% 8.8% 11.4% 16.6% 29.1%
Emily Bornarth 8.0% 9.4% 7.3% 9.4% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 7.0% 6.0% 5.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.4% 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.9% 5.1% 3.8% 5.7% 8.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 11.8% 11.1% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.