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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+5.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.58vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.16+6.87vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+0.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.31vs Predicted
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82.64-2.01vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-3.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-0.22vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.28-3.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-3.45vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.13-1.72vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-3.77vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.70-9.22vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.87Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.29Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.992.640.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.28Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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10.23Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.78Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 20.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Gear | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Grace Woodcock | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 20.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.