← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.41+5.07vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.71+6.50vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.31+3.45vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.84+3.14vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.29+0.58vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.82-2.03vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.13-1.03vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.33-2.63vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.77+1.82vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.03-3.57vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.20vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.95-1.82vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.08-0.55vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.39-2.09vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.31-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
8.5Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
6.45Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
6.58Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.97Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
-
6.97Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.37Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
11.82Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.43Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
11.18Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
13.45University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
12.91Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
-
10.06Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 13.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 39.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 25.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.