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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.29+5.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.71+3.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-1.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-0.46vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.77+3.64vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.39+3.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08+2.40vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.95-0.81vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.13-5.90vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-6.66vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.31-8.42vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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4.88Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.64Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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12.71Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.08Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella Marlo | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 13.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 25.6% |
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 19.2% | 39.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 10.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.