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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.01vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.30vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+1.49vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+1.22vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.29-0.33vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-3.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71-0.47vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.31-3.42vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+1.46vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-3.03vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.39-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-6.78vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.46University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.97Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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12.7Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 17.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 38.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 24.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.